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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Estrela Win
37%
2.71
31%
3.28
33%
3.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
0 – 1
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Estrela xG
Total xG
2.52
1.22
Rio Ave xG
EstrelaDrawRio Ave
2.71
37%
Home win
3.28
31%
Draw
3.06
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.88
47%
BTTS No
2.14
Clean Sheet
30%
3.38
27%
3.69
Win to Nil
11%
9.17
9%
11.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 12.7 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.306
λ Away (xG)
1.218
Total xG
2.524
League avg home goals
1.289
League avg away goals
1.218
Estrela attack strength
0.932
Estrela defence strength
1.014
Rio Ave attack strength
0.986
Rio Ave defence strength
1.087
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42