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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Estrela Win
56%
1.78
24%
4.23
20%
4.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.3%
Draw
2 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.73
Estrela xG
Total xG
2.67
0.94
Rio Ave xG
EstrelaDrawRio Ave
1.78
56%
Home win
4.23
24%
Draw
4.95
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
39%
2.55
18%
5.65
Win to Nil
22%
4.54
4%
27.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.0 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.731
λ Away (xG)
0.935
Total xG
2.666
League avg home goals
1.364
League avg away goals
1.119
Estrela attack strength
1.047
Estrela defence strength
1.109
Rio Ave attack strength
0.754
Rio Ave defence strength
1.212
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48