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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

29%

Estrela

3.49

28%

Draw

3.53

43%

GIL Vicente

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Estrela xG

Total xG

2.62

1.47

GIL Vicente xG

29%
28%
43%
EstrelaDrawGIL Vicente

3.49

29%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

23%

Estrela

4.33

31%

GIL Vicente

3.18

Win to Nil

7%

Estrela

15.13

14%

GIL Vicente

7.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.7 7.8 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.4 12.3 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.9 7.1 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.9 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 1.466
Total xG 2.622
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.165
Estrela attack strength 0.774
Estrela defence strength 1.261
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.998
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58