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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Porto Win
20%
4.94
24%
4.26
56%
1.78
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
11.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
0 – 2
10.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Estrela xG
Total xG
2.69
1.75
FC Porto xG
EstrelaDrawFC Porto
4.94
20%
Home win
4.26
24%
Draw
1.78
56%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.98
49%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
17%
5.74
39%
2.58
Win to Nil
4%
28.39
22%
4.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 11.8 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.946
λ Away (xG)
1.748
Total xG
2.694
League avg home goals
1.461
League avg away goals
1.127
Estrela attack strength
0.933
Estrela defence strength
1.129
FC Porto attack strength
1.373
FC Porto defence strength
0.694
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64