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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 19 Jan 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estrela Win

50%

Estrela

2.01

23%

Draw

4.43

28%

Estoril

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Estrela xG

Total xG

3.21

1.35

Estoril xG

50%
23%
28%
EstrelaDrawEstoril

2.01

50%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

26%

Estrela

3.85

15%

Estoril

6.46

Win to Nil

13%

Estrela

7.75

4%

Estoril

23.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.4 3.7 1.6 0.6 0.1
1 7.5 10.1 6.8 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.4 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.865
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 3.212
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.239
Estrela attack strength 1.033
Estrela defence strength 1.065
Estoril attack strength 1.021
Estoril defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51