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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Estrela Win
48%
2.07
23%
4.28
28%
3.53
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
7.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.88
Estrela xG
Total xG
3.27
1.40
Arouca xG
EstrelaDrawArouca
2.07
48%
Home win
4.28
23%
Draw
3.53
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.79
Clean Sheet
25%
4.05
15%
6.52
Win to Nil
12%
8.39
4%
23.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.875
λ Away (xG)
1.399
Total xG
3.274
League avg home goals
1.317
League avg away goals
1.340
Estrela attack strength
0.936
Estrela defence strength
1.036
Arouca attack strength
1.008
Arouca defence strength
1.521
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46