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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

73%

Estoril

1.37

16%

Draw

6.30

11%

Tondela

9.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

3 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.54

Estoril xG

Total xG

3.43

0.89

Tondela xG

73%
16%
EstorilDrawTondela

1.37

73%

Home win

6.30

16%

Draw

9.14

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

41%

Estoril

2.43

8%

Tondela

12.71

Win to Nil

30%

Estoril

3.32

1%

Tondela

116.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.2 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 10.5 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 8.9 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
4 5.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
5 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.542
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 3.429
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.246
Estoril attack strength 1.351
Estoril defence strength 1.128
Tondela attack strength 0.631
Tondela defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20