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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

22%

Estoril

4.54

21%

Draw

4.86

57%

SC Braga

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

0 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Estoril xG

Total xG

3.41

2.14

SC Braga xG

22%
21%
57%
EstorilDrawSC Braga

4.54

22%

Home win

4.86

21%

Draw

1.74

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

12%

Estoril

8.50

28%

SC Braga

3.55

Win to Nil

3%

Estoril

38.55

16%

SC Braga

6.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 7.1 7.6 5.4 2.9 1.2
1 4.2 9.0 9.6 6.9 3.7 1.6
2 2.7 5.7 6.1 4.3 2.3 1.0
3 1.1 2.4 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.4
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.266
λ Away (xG) 2.140
Total xG 3.406
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.267
Estoril attack strength 1.153
Estoril defence strength 1.230
SC Braga attack strength 1.373
SC Braga defence strength 0.802
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48