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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

28%

Estoril

3.58

28%

Draw

3.56

44%

SC Braga

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.27

1.30

SC Braga xG

28%
28%
44%
EstorilDrawSC Braga

3.58

28%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

27%

Estoril

3.67

38%

SC Braga

2.65

Win to Nil

8%

Estoril

13.14

17%

SC Braga

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 13.4 8.7 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.9 6.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.975
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.275
League avg home goals 1.254
League avg away goals 1.203
Estoril attack strength 1.070
Estoril defence strength 1.096
SC Braga attack strength 0.986
SC Braga defence strength 0.726
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63