Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 6 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

48%

Estoril

2.10

26%

Draw

3.80

26%

Santa Clara

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.65

1.09

Santa Clara xG

48%
26%
26%
EstorilDrawSanta Clara

2.10

48%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

34%

Estoril

2.98

21%

Santa Clara

4.76

Win to Nil

16%

Estoril

6.27

5%

Santa Clara

18.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 12.0 6.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.5 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.560
λ Away (xG) 1.093
Total xG 2.653
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.237
Estoril attack strength 1.030
Estoril defence strength 1.023
Santa Clara attack strength 0.863
Santa Clara defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37