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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

59%

Estoril

1.68

21%

Draw

4.69

19%

Rio Ave

5.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Estoril xG

Total xG

3.05

1.05

Rio Ave xG

59%
21%
19%
EstorilDrawRio Ave

1.68

59%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

5.18

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

35%

Estoril

2.85

14%

Rio Ave

7.37

Win to Nil

21%

Estoril

4.80

3%

Rio Ave

38.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 9.5 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.3 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.998
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 3.046
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.127
Estoril attack strength 1.202
Estoril defence strength 1.105
Rio Ave attack strength 0.842
Rio Ave defence strength 1.122
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60