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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

47%

Estoril

2.15

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

Rio Ave

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.33

0.95

Rio Ave xG

47%
28%
25%
EstorilDrawRio Ave

2.15

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

39%

Estoril

2.58

25%

Rio Ave

3.99

Win to Nil

18%

Estoril

5.55

6%

Rio Ave

15.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.7 6.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 0.949
Total xG 2.333
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.161
Estoril attack strength 0.949
Estoril defence strength 0.993
Rio Ave attack strength 0.824
Rio Ave defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56