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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Nacional Win
29%
3.40
35%
2.89
36%
2.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.6%
Draw
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Estoril xG
Total xG
1.99
1.06
Nacional xG
EstorilDrawNacional
3.40
29%
Home win
2.89
35%
Draw
2.77
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.41
58%
BTTS No
1.71
Clean Sheet
35%
2.89
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
10%
9.83
14%
7.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.6 | 14.4 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 13.5 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.933
λ Away (xG)
1.060
Total xG
1.993
League avg home goals
1.323
League avg away goals
1.214
Estoril attack strength
0.928
Estoril defence strength
0.964
Nacional attack strength
0.906
Nacional defence strength
0.760
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42