Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

43%

Estoril

2.35

26%

Draw

3.89

32%

Moreirense

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.92

1.34

Moreirense xG

43%
26%
32%
EstorilDrawMoreirense

2.35

43%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

26%

Estoril

3.81

21%

Moreirense

4.86

Win to Nil

11%

Estoril

8.96

7%

Moreirense

15.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.2 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 8.5 11.4 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.582
λ Away (xG) 1.338
Total xG 2.920
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.320
Estoril attack strength 1.088
Estoril defence strength 1.075
Moreirense attack strength 0.943
Moreirense defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46