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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

35%

Estoril

2.85

26%

Draw

3.81

39%

FC Porto

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.62

1.35

FC Porto xG

35%
26%
39%
EstorilDrawFC Porto

2.85

35%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

26%

Estoril

3.85

28%

FC Porto

3.56

Win to Nil

9%

Estoril

10.99

11%

FC Porto

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.8 6.6 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.3 12.5 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.9 7.9 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.349
Total xG 2.620
League avg home goals 1.354
League avg away goals 1.119
Estoril attack strength 1.031
Estoril defence strength 1.093
FC Porto attack strength 1.102
FC Porto defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60