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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

40%

Estoril

2.51

25%

Draw

4.07

36%

Famalicao

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.93

1.42

Famalicao xG

40%
25%
36%
EstorilDrawFamalicao

2.51

40%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

24%

Estoril

4.12

22%

Famalicao

4.54

Win to Nil

10%

Estoril

10.34

8%

Famalicao

12.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.6 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 8.1 11.4 8.1 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.7 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.416
Total xG 2.930
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.131
Estoril attack strength 1.113
Estoril defence strength 1.255
Famalicao attack strength 0.998
Famalicao defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64