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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

46%

Estoril

2.16

30%

Draw

3.33

24%

Estrela

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Estoril xG

Total xG

1.98

0.78

Estrela xG

46%
30%
24%
EstorilDrawEstrela

2.16

46%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

46%

Estoril

2.17

30%

Estrela

3.35

Win to Nil

21%

Estoril

4.69

7%

Estrela

14.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 10.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
1 16.6 12.9 5.0 1.3 0.2
2 10.0 7.8 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.208
λ Away (xG) 0.775
Total xG 1.983
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
Estoril attack strength 0.958
Estoril defence strength 1.123
Estrela attack strength 0.567
Estrela defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67