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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

44%

Estoril

2.27

28%

Draw

3.57

28%

Casa Pia

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.29

0.98

Casa Pia xG

44%
28%
28%
EstorilDrawCasa Pia

2.27

44%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

37%

Estoril

2.67

27%

Casa Pia

3.69

Win to Nil

16%

Estoril

6.07

8%

Casa Pia

13.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.0 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.305
λ Away (xG) 0.982
Total xG 2.287
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.062
Estoril attack strength 0.934
Estoril defence strength 1.000
Casa Pia attack strength 0.924
Casa Pia defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47