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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

49%

Estoril

2.05

27%

Draw

3.64

24%

Boavista

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.48

0.98

Boavista xG

49%
27%
24%
EstorilDrawBoavista

2.05

49%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

38%

Estoril

2.66

22%

Boavista

4.51

Win to Nil

18%

Estoril

5.45

5%

Boavista

18.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.6 12.3 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.506
λ Away (xG) 0.978
Total xG 2.484
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.189
Estoril attack strength 0.892
Estoril defence strength 0.987
Boavista attack strength 0.833
Boavista defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54