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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

44%

Estoril

2.28

25%

Draw

3.93

31%

AVS

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.71

1.21

AVS xG

44%
25%
31%
EstorilDrawAVS

2.28

44%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

30%

Estoril

3.36

22%

AVS

4.49

Win to Nil

13%

Estoril

7.65

7%

AVS

14.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.0 12.1 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.1 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.216
Estoril attack strength 0.893
Estoril defence strength 1.013
AVS attack strength 0.983
AVS defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38