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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Estoril Win
55%
1.83
25%
3.92
20%
5.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.80
Estoril xG
Total xG
2.82
1.02
Arouca xG
EstorilDrawArouca
1.83
55%
Home win
3.92
25%
Draw
5.01
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.84
46%
BTTS No
2.20
Clean Sheet
36%
2.76
17%
6.05
Win to Nil
20%
5.07
3%
30.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.800
λ Away (xG)
1.017
Total xG
2.817
League avg home goals
1.316
League avg away goals
1.307
Estoril attack strength
0.939
Estoril defence strength
0.914
Arouca attack strength
0.851
Arouca defence strength
1.457
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44