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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

48%

Estoril

2.07

25%

Draw

4.01

27%

Alverca

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.71

1.12

Alverca xG

48%
25%
27%
EstorilDrawAlverca

2.07

48%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

33%

Estoril

3.07

20%

Alverca

4.91

Win to Nil

16%

Estoril

6.37

5%

Alverca

18.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.8 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.592
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.715
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.295
Estoril attack strength 1.154
Estoril defence strength 1.053
Alverca attack strength 0.823
Alverca defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15