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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

23%

Casa Pia

4.31

29%

Draw

3.49

48%

SC Braga

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Casa Pia xG

Total xG

2.11

1.30

SC Braga xG

23%
29%
48%
Casa PiaDrawSC Braga

4.31

23%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

27%

Casa Pia

3.68

45%

SC Braga

2.24

Win to Nil

6%

Casa Pia

15.86

21%

SC Braga

4.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 15.8 10.3 4.5 1.5 0.4
1 9.8 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.0 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.808
λ Away (xG) 1.302
Total xG 2.110
League avg home goals 1.295
League avg away goals 1.207
Casa Pia attack strength 0.927
Casa Pia defence strength 1.027
SC Braga attack strength 1.050
SC Braga defence strength 0.674
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66