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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
36%
2.75
30%
3.39
34%
2.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.8%
Home win
0 – 1
12.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.10
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.15
1.05
Rio Ave xG
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
2.75
36%
Home win
3.39
30%
Draw
2.93
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
35%
2.86
33%
2.99
Win to Nil
13%
7.88
11%
8.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.7 | 12.3 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.8 | 13.5 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.096
λ Away (xG)
1.052
Total xG
2.148
League avg home goals
1.447
League avg away goals
1.137
Casa Pia attack strength
0.742
Casa Pia defence strength
1.011
Rio Ave attack strength
0.915
Rio Ave defence strength
1.021
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67