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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
39%
2.57
28%
3.52
33%
3.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.3%
Home win
0 – 1
11.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.28
1.08
Nacional xG
Casa PiaDrawNacional
2.57
39%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
3.06
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.16
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
30%
3.33
Win to Nil
13%
7.57
10%
10.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.203
λ Away (xG)
1.079
Total xG
2.282
League avg home goals
1.456
League avg away goals
1.210
Casa Pia attack strength
0.878
Casa Pia defence strength
1.017
Nacional attack strength
0.877
Nacional defence strength
0.940
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
37 / 37