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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

17%

Casa Pia

5.88

24%

Draw

4.12

59%

GIL Vicente

1.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Casa Pia xG

Total xG

2.58

1.75

GIL Vicente xG

17%
24%
59%
Casa PiaDrawGIL Vicente

5.88

17%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

1.70

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

17%

Casa Pia

5.76

44%

GIL Vicente

2.30

Win to Nil

3%

Casa Pia

33.84

26%

GIL Vicente

3.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 13.2 11.6 6.8 3.0 1.0
1 6.3 11.0 9.6 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 2.6 4.6 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.4
3 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.831
λ Away (xG) 1.751
Total xG 2.582
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.302
Casa Pia attack strength 0.932
Casa Pia defence strength 1.394
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.965
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.680
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47