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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
48%
2.07
27%
3.71
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
2 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.42
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.35
0.93
Arouca xG
Casa PiaDrawArouca
2.07
48%
Home win
3.71
27%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
39%
2.53
24%
4.14
Win to Nil
19%
5.23
6%
16.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.6 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.420
λ Away (xG)
0.929
Total xG
2.349
League avg home goals
1.398
League avg away goals
1.102
Casa Pia attack strength
0.842
Casa Pia defence strength
1.012
Arouca attack strength
0.833
Arouca defence strength
1.206
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48