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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
40%
2.50
25%
4.02
35%
2.85
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
3.41
1.65
Alverca xG
Casa PiaDrawAlverca
2.50
40%
Home win
4.02
25%
Draw
2.85
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.47
32%
BTTS No
3.13
Clean Sheet
19%
5.19
17%
5.84
Win to Nil
8%
12.95
6%
16.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 9.6 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.765
λ Away (xG)
1.646
Total xG
3.411
League avg home goals
1.348
League avg away goals
1.308
Casa Pia attack strength
1.087
Casa Pia defence strength
1.365
Alverca attack strength
0.922
Alverca defence strength
1.205
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 11