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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boavista Win

35%

Boavista

2.86

31%

Draw

3.26

34%

Nacional

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.02

1.01

Nacional xG

35%
31%
34%
BoavistaDrawNacional

2.86

35%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

37%

Boavista

2.74

36%

Nacional

2.76

Win to Nil

13%

Boavista

7.83

12%

Nacional

8.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 13.3 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.024
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.194
Boavista attack strength 0.711
Boavista defence strength 1.352
Nacional attack strength 0.624
Nacional defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28