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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

23%

Boavista

4.39

31%

Draw

3.21

46%

Guimaraes

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.75

Boavista xG

Total xG

1.95

1.20

Guimaraes xG

23%
31%
46%
BoavistaDrawGuimaraes

4.39

23%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

30%

Boavista

3.30

47%

Guimaraes

2.12

Win to Nil

7%

Boavista

14.49

22%

Guimaraes

4.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 17.1 10.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
1 10.7 12.8 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 4.0 4.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.752
λ Away (xG) 1.195
Total xG 1.947
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.122
Boavista attack strength 0.652
Boavista defence strength 1.208
Guimaraes attack strength 0.881
Guimaraes defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58