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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boavista Win

35%

Boavista

2.83

30%

Draw

3.28

34%

GIL Vicente

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.04

1.01

GIL Vicente xG

35%
30%
34%
BoavistaDrawGIL Vicente

2.83

35%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

36%

Boavista

2.75

36%

GIL Vicente

2.80

Win to Nil

13%

Boavista

7.80

12%

GIL Vicente

8.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 13.1 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.9 7.0 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.031
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.043
League avg home goals 1.359
League avg away goals 1.133
Boavista attack strength 0.680
Boavista defence strength 1.236
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.723
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60