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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

16%

Boavista

6.24

23%

Draw

4.34

61%

FC Porto

1.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.3%

Away win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.53

1.76

FC Porto xG

16%
23%
61%
BoavistaDrawFC Porto

6.24

16%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

1.64

61%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

17%

Boavista

5.80

46%

FC Porto

2.16

Win to Nil

3%

Boavista

36.17

28%

FC Porto

3.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 14.0 12.3 7.2 3.2 1.1
1 6.2 10.8 9.5 5.6 2.4 0.9
2 2.4 4.2 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.3
3 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.770
λ Away (xG) 1.757
Total xG 2.527
League avg home goals 1.290
League avg away goals 1.216
Boavista attack strength 0.637
Boavista defence strength 1.473
FC Porto attack strength 0.981
FC Porto defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66