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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 20 Jan 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Casa Pia Win

18%

Boavista

5.63

28%

Draw

3.61

55%

Casa Pia

1.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.9%

Away win

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.75

Boavista xG

Total xG

2.26

1.51

Casa Pia xG

18%
28%
55%
BoavistaDrawCasa Pia

5.63

18%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

1.83

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

22%

Boavista

4.53

47%

Casa Pia

2.12

Win to Nil

4%

Boavista

25.47

26%

Casa Pia

3.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 15.7 11.9 6.0 2.3 0.7
1 7.8 11.8 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 2.9 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.752
λ Away (xG) 1.510
Total xG 2.262
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.191
Boavista attack strength 0.608
Boavista defence strength 1.227
Casa Pia attack strength 1.033
Casa Pia defence strength 0.879
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51