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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
71%
1.41
17%
5.73
11%
8.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.31
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.11
0.81
Tondela xG
BenficaDrawTondela
1.41
71%
Home win
5.73
17%
Draw
8.73
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
45%
2.24
10%
10.05
Win to Nil
32%
3.15
1%
87.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.2 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.308
λ Away (xG)
0.807
Total xG
3.115
League avg home goals
1.369
League avg away goals
1.211
Benfica attack strength
1.296
Benfica defence strength
0.926
Tondela attack strength
0.720
Tondela defence strength
1.302
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
35 / 2