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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
40%
2.49
22%
4.55
38%
2.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
8.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.1%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.82
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.59
1.77
Sporting CP xG
BenficaDrawSporting CP
2.49
40%
Home win
4.55
22%
Draw
2.64
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
70%
BTTS Yes
1.44
30%
BTTS No
3.28
Clean Sheet
17%
5.86
16%
6.18
Win to Nil
7%
14.61
6%
16.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 8.1 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.821
λ Away (xG)
1.768
Total xG
3.589
League avg home goals
1.302
League avg away goals
1.213
Benfica attack strength
1.789
Benfica defence strength
0.880
Sporting CP attack strength
1.657
Sporting CP defence strength
0.782
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66