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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
74%
1.36
17%
5.72
9%
11.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
14.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.4%
Home win
3 – 0
10.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.26
Benfica xG
Total xG
2.90
0.64
Nacional xG
BenficaDrawNacional
1.36
74%
Home win
5.72
17%
Draw
11.42
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.34
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
53%
1.90
10%
9.54
Win to Nil
39%
2.58
1%
108.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 12.4 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.5 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 5 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.256
λ Away (xG)
0.644
Total xG
2.900
League avg home goals
1.335
League avg away goals
1.117
Benfica attack strength
1.646
Benfica defence strength
0.793
Nacional attack strength
0.727
Nacional defence strength
1.026
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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