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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
65%
1.55
21%
4.80
14%
6.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.1%
Home win
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.97
Benfica xG
Total xG
2.77
0.80
Moreirense xG
BenficaDrawMoreirense
1.55
65%
Home win
4.80
21%
Draw
6.90
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
14%
7.15
Win to Nil
29%
3.46
2%
49.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.967
λ Away (xG)
0.804
Total xG
2.771
League avg home goals
1.453
League avg away goals
1.139
Benfica attack strength
1.377
Benfica defence strength
0.749
Moreirense attack strength
0.943
Moreirense defence strength
0.983
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64