🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
76%
1.31
16%
6.37
8%
12.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.5%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.5%
Home win
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.52
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.23
0.72
Moreirense xG
BenficaDrawMoreirense
1.31
76%
Home win
6.37
16%
Draw
12.29
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.11
53%
BTTS No
1.90
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
8%
12.37
Win to Nil
37%
2.69
1%
151.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.515
λ Away (xG)
0.716
Total xG
3.231
League avg home goals
1.419
League avg away goals
1.186
Benfica attack strength
1.627
Benfica defence strength
0.695
Moreirense attack strength
0.868
Moreirense defence strength
1.089
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 54