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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio da Luz

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

35%

Benfica

2.90

34%

Draw

2.98

32%

GIL Vicente

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Benfica xG

Total xG

1.97

0.96

GIL Vicente xG

35%
34%
32%
BenficaDrawGIL Vicente

2.90

35%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

38%

Benfica

2.61

36%

GIL Vicente

2.75

Win to Nil

13%

Benfica

7.57

12%

GIL Vicente

8.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 13.4 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.1 6.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
3 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.010
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 1.971
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.211
Benfica attack strength 1.168
Benfica defence strength 0.864
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.919
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.675
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40