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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio da Luz

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

37%

Benfica

2.70

32%

Draw

3.12

31%

FC Porto

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Benfica xG

Total xG

2.18

1.03

FC Porto xG

37%
32%
31%
BenficaDrawFC Porto

2.70

37%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

36%

Benfica

2.80

32%

FC Porto

3.16

Win to Nil

13%

Benfica

7.54

10%

FC Porto

10.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 11.6 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 1.028
Total xG 2.179
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.169
Benfica attack strength 1.297
Benfica defence strength 0.763
FC Porto attack strength 1.151
FC Porto defence strength 0.593
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58