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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Wed 2 Apr 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

70%

Benfica

1.43

18%

Draw

5.64

12%

Farense

8.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Benfica xG

Total xG

3.15

0.85

Farense xG

70%
18%
12%
BenficaDrawFarense

1.43

70%

Home win

5.64

18%

Draw

8.20

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

43%

Benfica

2.33

10%

Farense

9.97

Win to Nil

30%

Benfica

3.33

1%

Farense

81.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.4 9.6 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 8.7 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 5.0 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.300
λ Away (xG) 0.846
Total xG 3.146
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.151
Benfica attack strength 1.628
Benfica defence strength 0.770
Farense attack strength 0.954
Farense defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60