Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Mon 22 Dec 2025

20:45

Venue

Estádio da Luz

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

50%

Benfica

2.00

25%

Draw

3.93

24%

Famalicao

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Benfica xG

Total xG

2.56

1.00

Famalicao xG

50%
25%
24%
BenficaDrawFamalicao

2.00

50%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

37%

Benfica

2.73

21%

Famalicao

4.73

Win to Nil

18%

Benfica

5.45

5%

Famalicao

19.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 12.1 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.4 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.257
Benfica attack strength 1.301
Benfica defence strength 0.871
Famalicao attack strength 0.917
Famalicao defence strength 0.886
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48