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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

66%

Benfica

1.52

20%

Draw

5.08

14%

Famalicao

6.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Benfica xG

Total xG

3.29

0.99

Famalicao xG

66%
20%
14%
BenficaDrawFamalicao

1.52

66%

Home win

5.08

20%

Draw

6.98

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

37%

Benfica

2.70

10%

Famalicao

9.93

Win to Nil

24%

Benfica

4.10

1%

Famalicao

69.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.6 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 9.8 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.5 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.296
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.184
Benfica attack strength 1.568
Benfica defence strength 0.751
Famalicao attack strength 1.118
Famalicao defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51