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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
69%
1.45
20%
5.03
11%
9.09
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.0%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.30
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.14
0.84
Casa Pia xG
BenficaDrawCasa Pia
1.45
69%
Home win
5.03
20%
Draw
9.09
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
43%
2.31
10%
9.95
Win to Nil
30%
3.35
1%
90.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.298
λ Away (xG)
0.839
Total xG
3.137
League avg home goals
1.320
League avg away goals
1.309
Benfica attack strength
1.396
Benfica defence strength
0.760
Casa Pia attack strength
0.843
Casa Pia defence strength
1.247
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 44