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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio da Luz

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

80%

Benfica

1.25

12%

Draw

8.03

8%

AVS

12.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.96

Benfica xG

Total xG

3.80

0.85

AVS xG

80%
12%
BenficaDrawAVS

1.25

80%

Home win

8.03

12%

Draw

12.99

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

43%

Benfica

2.33

5%

AVS

19.24

Win to Nil

34%

Benfica

2.92

0%

AVS

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.2
1 6.6 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 9.7 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 9.6 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 7.1 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
5 4.2 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.957
λ Away (xG) 0.848
Total xG 3.805
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.212
Benfica attack strength 1.252
Benfica defence strength 0.786
AVS attack strength 0.890
AVS defence strength 1.524
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56