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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

81%

Benfica

1.23

12%

Draw

8.48

7%

AVS

14.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.01

Benfica xG

Total xG

3.81

0.80

AVS xG

81%
12%
BenficaDrawAVS

1.23

81%

Home win

8.48

12%

Draw

14.56

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

45%

Benfica

2.23

5%

AVS

20.23

Win to Nil

37%

Benfica

2.74

0%

AVS

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 6.7 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 10.0 8.0 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 10.1 8.1 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 7.6 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
5 4.5 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.007
λ Away (xG) 0.801
Total xG 3.808
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.186
Benfica attack strength 1.675
Benfica defence strength 0.950
AVS attack strength 0.711
AVS defence strength 1.437
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30