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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
68%
1.48
17%
5.75
15%
6.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.6%
Home win
3 – 1
7.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.49
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.58
1.09
Arouca xG
BenficaDrawArouca
1.48
68%
Home win
5.75
17%
Draw
6.72
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.56
Clean Sheet
33%
2.99
8%
12.01
Win to Nil
23%
4.41
1%
80.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.486
λ Away (xG)
1.095
Total xG
3.581
League avg home goals
1.268
League avg away goals
1.171
Benfica attack strength
1.738
Benfica defence strength
0.866
Arouca attack strength
1.079
Arouca defence strength
1.128
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62