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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
80%
1.25
13%
7.66
7%
14.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.4%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
11.2%
Home win
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.71
Benfica xG
Total xG
3.38
0.67
Alverca xG
BenficaDrawAlverca
1.25
80%
Home win
7.66
13%
Draw
14.75
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.19
54%
BTTS No
1.84
Clean Sheet
51%
1.96
7%
15.04
Win to Nil
41%
2.45
0%
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Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 9.2 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.4 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 11.2 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 7.6 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.711
λ Away (xG)
0.674
Total xG
3.385
League avg home goals
1.542
League avg away goals
1.240
Benfica attack strength
1.311
Benfica defence strength
0.730
Alverca attack strength
0.745
Alverca defence strength
1.342
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 20