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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

13%

AVS

7.89

20%

Draw

5.09

68%

Sporting CP

1.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

AVS xG

Total xG

3.12

2.24

Sporting CP xG

13%
20%
68%
AVSDrawSporting CP

7.89

13%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

1.48

68%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

11%

AVS

9.41

42%

Sporting CP

2.41

Win to Nil

1%

AVS

74.23

28%

Sporting CP

3.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 9.9 11.1 8.3 4.6 2.1
1 3.9 8.7 9.7 7.3 4.1 1.8
2 1.7 3.8 4.3 3.2 1.8 0.8
3 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.878
λ Away (xG) 2.242
Total xG 3.120
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 1.159
AVS attack strength 0.755
AVS defence strength 1.214
Sporting CP attack strength 1.594
Sporting CP defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56