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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

32%

AVS

3.09

30%

Draw

3.30

37%

Santa Clara

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

AVS xG

Total xG

2.26

1.18

Santa Clara xG

32%
30%
37%
AVSDrawSanta Clara

3.09

32%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

31%

AVS

3.26

34%

Santa Clara

2.95

Win to Nil

10%

AVS

10.07

13%

Santa Clara

7.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 12.3 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.1 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.083
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.188
AVS attack strength 0.698
AVS defence strength 1.162
Santa Clara attack strength 0.857
Santa Clara defence strength 1.038
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59